White Evangelical Protestants vs. Balance of the Electorate
Margin Shift — Minimum
Shift is always toward the Democratic candidate.
Each entry shows the smaller end of the 95 percent range around our estimate of that state’s shift. Shown: the 25 largest, and any others tied for 25th. See note on rounding.
Each entry shows our estimate of that state’s shift; the number after the ± is its margin of error. Shown: the 25 largest, and any others tied for 25th. See notes on rounding and exceptions.